Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 404.152397 459.964953 522.233630 597.135977 685.158682 785.761736 910.080845
2025-09-28 307.772350 376.496396 460.109867 570.370133 713.496371 895.146732 1146.596764
2025-10-05 273.122929 350.886413 451.301241 592.576473 789.637130 1059.993818 1468.292724
2025-10-12 250.815381 335.317266 449.895175 620.066287 872.449313 1243.030098 1848.052712
2025-10-19 226.648098 312.886351 434.549577 623.497293 918.523912 1377.600792 2179.969154
2025-10-26 202.132982 286.453727 409.355506 607.461953 930.531018 1458.920364 2439.231566
2025-11-02 183.239489 265.839722 389.818991 596.542873 947.436596 1548.678054 2729.327432
2025-11-09 173.588189 257.904111 388.306373 613.468080 1011.976349 1729.310050 3226.908547
2025-11-16 161.188927 244.319010 376.180418 610.746535 1041.149491 1850.033656 3633.428645
2025-11-23 149.400211 230.526692 362.160276 602.714703 1058.892772 1951.092160 4021.637489
2025-11-30 141.021088 221.484086 355.024136 605.759754 1097.415161 2099.194167 4551.795027
2025-12-07 131.065972 208.932008 340.647143 593.711579 1104.369353 2182.477606 4949.264842
2025-12-14 123.357473 199.773384 331.687262 591.473606 1132.238440 2319.187512 5529.125722
2025-12-21 112.873912 185.018180 311.515875 565.441625 1106.966714 2332.558138 5788.673311
2025-12-28 110.109842 183.621929 315.425230 587.383698 1188.139862 2610.365114 6879.512215
2026-01-04 108.163337 183.493603 321.602262 614.589136 1285.422525 2949.074558 8282.383708
2026-01-11 103.430240 177.855988 316.741250 617.983900 1327.966848 3156.824631 9349.484950
2026-01-18 96.901780 168.387508 303.633497 602.116565 1321.820650 3232.586180 9995.052794
2026-01-25 91.477991 160.643159 293.319887 591.311398 1326.691513 3340.567572 10803.462168
2026-02-01 89.335492 159.038969 295.178687 608.059866 1404.224851 3676.778156 12641.023443
2026-02-08 85.410695 153.679354 288.907632 605.366803 1430.456174 3865.094527 13970.509788
2026-02-15 81.282794 147.648004 280.772660 597.418887 1441.374789 4008.425857 15178.883877
2026-02-22 78.435326 143.991884 277.358865 600.432147 1483.230055 4263.107533 17040.668787